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Who are we backing to win The Open?

These are our picks to lift the trophy, listed in order of their odds with the bookies.

The redemption story – Rory McIlroy (10/1)

We know, we know, we said to be wary of backing the favourite. But just give us a minute to explain.

People remember the 63 and then the 80 Rory McIlroy shot as a fresh-faced youngster at the 2010 Open, but they forget that he recovered brilliantly to finish third. He did miss the 2015 Open after injuring himself playing football, but his body of work on the Old Course includes runner-up finishes in the two Dunhill Links he played between 2010 and 2015.

He’s openly professed his love for the course, wishes the tournament was here every year, and he’s been in superb form in 2022 with top-10 finishes at all three Majors, including a runner-up at the Masters. He leads the PGA Tour in scoring average from Ryder Cup teammate Matt Fitzpatrick, is in the top-five for driving distance, and only just outside the top-10 strokes gained for approach play and putting.

A victory for McIlroy at his favourite Open course in a year when he’s become the role model for the DP World and PGA Tours would please the R&A, Keith Pelley and Jay Monahan almost as much as it would please his adoring fans.

RELATED: Rory – “I wish every Open was at St Andrews”

The Hot Streak – Xander Schauffele (16/1)

Coming into the tournament off three consecutive wins, at the Genesis Scottish Open, the Travelers Championship, and the JP McManus Pro-Am (if you count that) you can’t ignore the game’s most in-form player in Xander Schauffele. Many will say there’s no chance anyone wins four events in a row (or even three if you dismiss the JP McManus Pro-Am), but the 28-year-old American won’t be one of them.

Schauffele hasn’t finished outside the top-18 in his last seven starts, including those three victories. He finished tied second at the 2018 Open and, if he does manage to continue his red hot form, could well go one better at St Andrews.

The comeback kid – Jordan Spieth (18/1)

His practice swing looks a sight and his putter still isn’t as hot as it was a few years ago, but, as he’s showing at the Scottish Open, you’d be a fool to ever write off Jordan Spieth in a Major. You’d be even more foolish to write him off in The Open at St Andrews where he finished fourth in 2015.

The big fairways will be to his liking and having grown up in Texas, he knows how to handle the windy conditions. Besides, he’s never finished worse than 30th in the last six Opens and lifted the trophy at Birkdale in 2017.

The short game king – Shane Lowry (22/1)

Shane Lowry looks a steal at odds of 22-1. The 2019 champion loves the Old Course, has three top-six finishes at the Dunhill Links (including last year), and is playing some of the best golf of his life.

Add in the fact he’s one of the very best players with a wedge in his hand, knows how to win an Open (especially one on a special occassion) and that he’s notched five top-10 finishes in his last 10 strokeplay events and we can’t help but feel another big win is just around the corner for the Irish Ryder Cup star.

The Open 2022: “Winning The Open hasn’t changed me”

Major form – Cameron Smith (28/1)

He’s won two big-name tournaments already this year and has built a reputation for being one of the best putters on the planet, performed superbly at Augusta, and ranks inside the top 40 for three-putt avoidance and strokes gained around the greens in four of the last five seasons – two metrics which are especially key at St Andrews.

The Aussie’s form hasn’t been as good lately, but he’s a normally solid player in the wind and he’s definitely going to win a Major sooner rather than later. It will need to be sooner if Smith is to achieve his goal of reaching World No.1 by the end of the year.

The former champion – Louis Oosthuizen (50/1)

Louis Oosthuizen has replaced Tiger as the lord of this links. He won by seven strokes in 2010 and only Zach Johnson could better him in a play-off five years later.

He also led after 54 holes at Royal St George’s last year, so at the very least he’s a smart each-way bet at 40-1. You’ll get far shorter odds on the R&A being unhappy if a LIV Golf member wins their 150th Open.

Oosthuizen is excellent at controlling his ball flight and a sublime irons player, so it’ll be no surprise if he contends around here, especially if the wind blows.

A Family Affair – Ryan Fox (80/1)

We’ll be amazed if Fox doesn’t at least contend at St Andrews. The New Zealander has been in incredible form in 2022 with a win, three runner-up finishes (including at the Irish Open), and a 3rd to his name, along with two other top 10s. He’s only missed two cuts all year.

His form guide for his last ten starts reads 2-3-MC-2-54-T2-T8-T9-T15-1 and he is 35 years old (the average age of recent Open winners is 34.5).

Fox is a big hitter, capable of taking St Andrews apart when swinging well, and he loves links golf, He made his Open debut on the Old Course in 2015, finishing in a tie for 49th, played the course twice at the 2021 Dunhill Links (T54th) and has only missed one cut at the Major.

His best finish came in 2019 at Royal Portrush when he also set the record for the lowest back nine in the tournament’s history, birdieing six of his final seven holes to come home in 29 in his opening round.

Success on the biggest stage is in Fox’s blood. His father, Grant, won the inaugural Rugby World Cup with the New Zealand All Blacks in 1987, while grandfather Merv was captain of New Zealand’s test cricket team.

The Dunhill link – Danny Willett (150/1)

We had to double-take when we saw that Danny Willett is priced at 125-1. He’s a Major champion and a proven big-game player who won last year’s Dunhill Links, shooting rounds of 66-68 on the Old Course.

His form’s nothing to shout about, but he’s not missed a cut in his last six Open appearances and has two sixth-place finishes in that run. The first came at St Andrews in 2015. A decent outside bet.

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