Free football betting tips: Crystal Palace v Newcastle - preview and best bets

Posted by on18 Aug, 2022

Why Make a Trixie Bet?

If you place an accumulator, you require every single selection to come in to win the bet. With a Trixie, it is a little different as you can still get a return on your bet even if one selection doesn’t come in. Therefore one key advantage of the Trixie bet is that it provides a better chance of a return. It’s similar to insurance on an accumulator.

The disadvantage of a Trixie bet is that it does require a higher stake. The trade-off of increased probability of winning is that the returns are likely to be lower.

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Walbank – NorfolkStradivarius – Gold CupNature Strip – King's StandCampanelle – Platinum Jubilee

Walbank was an impressive seven-length winner at York

Walbank was an impressive seven-length winner at York

John Grossick (racingpost.com/photos)

Britannia Stakes – 5:00

This is always one of the top handicaps. Both Godolphin horses, King Of Time and Tranquil Night, look strong.

I also really like Clive Cox’s Whoputfiftyinyou who beat Mighty Ulysses at Haydock last time and is unbeaten. There are lots of unexposed horses in there and plenty in with chances.

6/1

Whoputfiftyinyou To Win or Each Way

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Valerien Ismael Might Switch From Barnsley to Palace

Valerien Ismael was something of an unknown in England when arriving at Barnsley FC in 2020, although the Frenchman has made a splash at Oakwell and narrowly missed out when trying to steer the Tykes into the Premier League which would have been a remarkable achievement considering that the club were struggling against relegation previously.

Ismael’s immediate impact at the South Yorkshire club might not have gone unnoticed at Crystal Palace and the coach has previously been in charge at Wolfsburg where he was the manager between 2016-17, while Ismael was also manager of LASK in Austria and perhaps he could be right man to take the next step with Palace thanks to some progressive ideas.

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Crystal Palace v Newcastle

  • 20:00 GMT kick-off on Amazon Prime Video
  • Match odds: Home 6/5 | Draw 9/4 | Away 12/5

Crystal Palace have a right to go into Friday's fixture with Newcastle feeling a little aggrieved.

The Eagles rounded-off last weekend's action by losing 1-0 at Burnley in the Monday Night Football, while the Magpies kicked things off by going down 2-0 at home to Chelsea; four days' rest meets six-and-a-half.

But so poor have Steve Bruce's team been this season, scabbing their way to the vast majority of their 11 points, that I'm happy to write-off any extra fatigue as inconsequential when it comes to predicting the outcome.

Newcastle have been dominated by Southampton and Chelsea in successive 2-0 defeats, with their luck having seemingly running out. No team has had fewer shots, or shots on target than the Magpies this term and that is unlikely to helped on Friday should top-scorer Callum Wilson be missing through injury again.

On the whole, Palace must be happy with their start. Though fairly inconsistent performance-wise - impressive wins over Southampton, Manchester United and Leeds but comfortable losses to Chelsea and Wolves - a fifth victory of the campaign would draw them level with sixth-placed Everton.

Callum Wilson after scoring a penalty for Newcastle

Newcastle are expected to be without Callum Wilson again

They had plenty of chances at Turf Moor last time out, denied by a combination of resolute defending, wastefulness and excellent goalkeeping.

But one crucial bit of team news to bear in mind is that Wilfried Zaha missed that defeat following a positive Covid-19 test, and could well be absent again - a huge blow given the Eagles' record of 14 defeats from 16 without him.

Although the Ivorian has been better than ever this term, providing five goals and two assists already, the summer arrivals of Ebere Eze and Michy Batshuayi means Palace shouldn't be as reliant on him as in the past.

And that's why I'm happy to stick with a win for Roy Hodgson's men, especially given the opposition. They are generally priced at 5/4 for victory, which for me is way too big.

Newcastle will undoubtedly aim to keep things tight. Three of their past four games have seen under 2.5 goals, and their last five top-flight away trips have done so too.

Half of Palace's matches in all competitions have been under 2.5 affairs, so I actually don't think the 4/6 general price on that paying out here is a terrible price. Not amazing value, but not terrible.

Combining that with a home win offers 10/3 with Paddy Power, which is certainly appealing. However, what you perhaps wouldn't expect with a Hodgson team is that Palace haven't kept a Premier League clean sheet since their opening-day win over Everton.

But the best you can get for Palace/under 3.5 goals is 7/4, and that's not enough of an increase from the straight outright bet for me to take it on, especially as the Eagles beat Leeds 4-1 in their last home game and won 3-1 at Old Trafford earlier in the campaign.

Palace's Eberechi Eze, right, celebrates with Andros Townsend

Andros Townsend, left, is tipped to score for Palace

In the goalscorer markets there are a couple of Palace players I like, starting with a man who's up against his former club.

Andros Townsend, an England regular when his current club manager was Three Lions boss, has been getting closer and closer in recent games.

He scored a stunning strike in the second match of the season against Manchester United, one of four attempts that day. But Townsend then went four games without pulling the trigger, and someone must have had a word.

Recent games against Wolves (3), Leeds (1) and Burnley (3) have seen him back to his normal self. His accuracy has been pretty good this season too, with around half his shots hitting the target.

I like the 11/1 first goalscorer and 5/1 anytime odds with 888Sport and Unibet, and will be taking a small interest in both. But I won't lie, I was very tempted by Sky Bet's 10/1 for Townsend to score from outside the box.

But I just have a nagging suspicion that should Zaha be missing, Townsend could take penalty duties. He was previously second in command to Luka Milivojevic, last scoring from the spot in January 2019. Jordan Ayew was the man Zaha usurped though, so it's more likely the Ghanaian would take back control.

Cheikhou Kouyate scores against Everton

Cheikhou Kouyate is a huge price to score his second goal of the season

The other man who makes the staking plan is Cheikhou Kouyate.

The giant Senegalese midfielder has been operating in defence this season, and with that has come a central role as an attacking threat at set-pieces.

He's already found the net once, and has had three further attempts. Central defensive colleague Scott Dann was amongst the goals in Palace's last home game, and they scored another from a set-piece when Helder Costa turned into his own net.

Newcastle have conceded four set-piece goals already, and were lucky not to add even more to Federico Fernandez's own goal against Chelsea last time out. Kurt Zouma headed inches wide when unmarked, and they rarely looked comfortable when the ball came into the box.

Sky Bet have Kouyate at 33/1 each-way to score first, paying 1/3 to 99 places. The only other bookmaker offering the same market is bet365. The fact they have him at 14/1 shows just how good a price that is.

Score prediction: Crystal Palace 2-0 Newcastle (Sky Bet odds: 17/2)

Best bets:

  • Crystal Palace to win at 5/4
  • Andros Townsend to score first at 11/1
  • Andros Townsend to score anytime at 24/5
  • Cheikhou Kouyate to score first e.w. at 33/1

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Team news

Palace have no fresh concerns ahead of Spurs' visit, with Christian Benteke and Scott Dann both long-term absentees for the Eagles.

Mousa Dembele, Danny Rose, Eric Dier, Victor Wanyama and Jan Vertonghen are all out for Spurs.

Norfolk Stakes – 2:30

As with all these two-year-old races, we have very little to go on.

Walbank bolted up by seven lengths at York last time and we all saw what happened in the Coventry on Tuesday when Bradsell won well having also dotted up at York on debut.

The Antarctic has won both his starts, and you always have to respect Ballydoyle, but I thought Brave Nation was hugely impressive when winning at Doncaster in April. I loved the way he did it and he could be a bit special.

15/2

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As a regular in Las Vegas for poker and her ESPN commentary duties, Kara offers a few recommendations. For a hotel, she loves the Vdara. For some great steak and chops, she loves the Golden Steer. Located just north of Circus, the restaurant is the city’s oldest and has been a regular stop for Elvis PresleyFrank SinatraMuhammad Ali, and Mario Andretti. The website features the motto: “The Best Steaks on Earth Since 1958.” Those with an interest in Vegas history should check out the Neon Museum, which houses some of Sin City’s vintage signage.

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Steve Cooper Still in Running for Palace Job

There have been several occasions where a manager who has done well in the Championship gets the chance to make the step up in the Premier League and that’s probably why Steve Cooper is a frontrunner in the next Crystal Palace manager betting market, with the current Swansea City manager having twice delivered the team into the play-offs.

Perhaps Cooper will remain with the Swans despite failing to get them up through the play-offs, although the Welshman is highly ambitious and has already been part of the England national team set-up, while he was part of the youth team coaching staff at Liverpool FC, so it’s realistic to assume that he might want to get the gig where this is concerned.

Cooper has now shortened to replace Roy Hodgson following news that Nuno Espirito Santo will no longer be in the running to take charge at Palace, with the London club looking to appoint someone as quickly as possible in a bid to prepare for the new campaign.

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A regulatory settlement is a resolution between the Commission and an operator in cases where concerns have been raised about the operator. In these instances, the Commission and the operator agree on a course of action which meets the Commission’s regulatory objectives, without having to use the Commission’s regulatory powers. Where payments are made in lieu of a financial penalty as part of a regulatory settlement with the aim of addressing gambling-related harms, money could be paid to GambleAware to accelerate the delivery of the National Strategy to Reduce Gambling Harms rather than displacing ordinary funding.

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